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2024-12-14 07:35:32

Although the market plunged today, in fact, at the weekly level, it has not yet fallen below the offensive line, and it has remained intact in the medium and long term, so there is no need to worry too much for the time being. As long as the medium and long-term trend is good, the market still has a foundation for sustained strength, so be patient and wait for the adjustment to be in place.The market rebounded for half an hour from 1: 30 to 2: 00, but when it rebounded to 3,425, it stopped abruptly, and it was almost the same without rushing up. If it could not stand on the offensive line, it could only turn its head down again, so it weakened again. The decline after 2 o'clock completely broke the hope of bottoming out today. At present, the index has returned to below the offensive line. The offensive line received 3,418.91 points today, and it will have to return to above 3,420 points at least next Monday, so that the short-term trend will have the possibility of getting better again, otherwise it will continue to be below the offensive line, that is, it will continue to weaken and cannot blindly intervene. Only in an upward trend can the index have a strong foundation.Although the micro-cap stocks closed down today, they have not fallen below the short-term offensive line, and the short-term upward trend has not changed substantially. Entrepreneurial small-cap stocks have not fallen below the offensive line for the time being. If they fall again on Monday, they will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will also weaken. The CSI 2,000 did not fall below the offensive line today, and the short-term trend is also good at present. Therefore, in general, the trend of small and micro-cap stocks, including entrepreneurial small-cap stocks, has not weakened initially, but if the market weakens further, the stocks will not be able to get out of the independent market, so we should also be cautious.


In terms of quantity and energy, there is a certain volume today. Yesterday's turnover was 1.89 trillion, and today's turnover is 2.09 trillion, an increase of 200 billion. But this volume is something we don't want to see, because it is declining. Today's volume is in a state of decline, so we must be cautious. In addition, the short-term trend has weakened initially, so the amplification of today's volume is a bad sign.In terms of quantity and energy, there is a certain volume today. Yesterday's turnover was 1.89 trillion, and today's turnover is 2.09 trillion, an increase of 200 billion. But this volume is something we don't want to see, because it is declining. Today's volume is in a state of decline, so we must be cautious. In addition, the short-term trend has weakened initially, so the amplification of today's volume is a bad sign.However, today's closing price has not fallen below the short-term trend line, which is almost the same. Today, the short-term trend line has closed at 3,391.33 points, and it will definitely not fall below 3,391 points next Monday. If it falls below, the short-term trend will be completely weakened, so it is necessary to further reduce the position. If it stays above 3,392 points, you can take a look again, so it depends on whether there is any good news over the weekend to support a repair on Monday.


Four departments of the central bank released a heavy releaseThe Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance, the People's Bank of China and the General Administration of Financial Supervision issued the Special Action Plan for Digital Empowerment of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises (2025-2027), taking the pilot project of digital transformation of small and medium-sized enterprises as the starting point, promoting digital transformation by combining "point, line and surface", accelerating the innovative application and deep empowerment of artificial intelligence, fully activating the value of data elements, focusing on improving the quality and efficiency of supply and the level of service guarantee, and implementing the special action for digital empowerment of small and medium-sized enterprises.Today, the short-term trend has undergone a preliminary change. The index has returned to below the offensive line, and the offensive line is running downward, and the short-term trend is no longer on the rise. Therefore, everyone must be flexible in thinking and make corresponding adjustments in time. If the short-term trend has not weakened before, intraday fluctuations can be ignored, but since the trend has changed, we should respond flexibly according to our actual situation.

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